Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has just entered its fifth month. On June 28th nato leaders will gather in Madrid to prepare the alliance for darker days ahead. During a visit to Kyiv on June 16th, Emmanuel Macron, France’s president, reiterated his warning that Europe would eventually have to engage with Russia again: “We, Europeans, we share a continent, and geography is stubborn: it turns out that at the end of it, Russia is still there.” A new strategic concept, which will be approved in Madrid, is the clearest sign of changing priorities. It identifies Russia, unsurprisingly, as “the most immediate threat to our security”. How will the summit impact the war in Ukraine ?

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