As the world gathers in Dubai for the 28th cop, the assessment of the first part of that stocktake is in some ways surprisingly positive. At the time of the Paris cop, the global warming expected by 2100 if policies did not change was more than 3°C above pre-industrial levels. If policies in place today are followed, central estimates put it around 2.5-2.9°C, though the uncertainties are large. The agreement at the conference of the parties (cop) to the un Framework Convention on Climate Change, which took place in Paris in 2015, was somewhat impotent. Is it possible o end the fossil fuel age ?

